St Etienne game finsihed 4-0.
There are 3 selections today but only 2 seem to have odds availability (Edited now all 3 have odds).
1st Game = Bologna v Fiorentina
Draw = £91.40
0-0 = £34.64
2nd Game = Dundee Utd v Kilmarnock
If 1st Game =0-0
Draw = £14.95
0-0 = £30.78
If 1st Game any other draw
Draw = £14.95
0-0 = £34.75
if 1st game any non draw
Draw = £119.03
0-0 = £34.75
There is also a game in the Enlgish Conference between Kettering and Forest Green. As it kicks off at the same time as the Dundee Utd game i'll follow the same principles as that game.
3rd Game = Kettering v Forest Green
If 1st Game =0-0
Draw = £17.62
0-0 = £39.57
If 1st Game any other draw
Draw = £17.62
0-0 = £44.68
if 1st game any non draw
Draw = £140.31
0-0 = £44.68
Tuesday, 21 February 2012
Sunday, 19 February 2012
Selections 19/02/2012
After 2 0-1 yesterday where both goals were relatively late looking for a winner today from:
St Etienee v Rennes
Draw - £63.26
0-0 £ 34.51
St Etienee v Rennes
Draw - £63.26
0-0 £ 34.51
Saturday, 18 February 2012
Football tips 18/02/12
After a few days inactivity there are selections again for todays games.
Fortunately the 2 games for today do not overlap (so i get to see one result before placing my bets on the other).
My last bet finished 2-0 so the first game today is between Xanthi and Asteras T in Greece.
I will be placing £28.04 on the draw, and £23.65 on the 0-0
The second game is between Lorient and Lille in France.
My stakes will depend on the Xanthi result.
If Xanthi finishes 0-0 I will place
Draw - £13.88
0-0 - £33.88
If it finishes with any other draw than 0-0 I will place
Draw - £13.88
0-0 - £26.73
If the anthi game is not a draw I will palce
Draw - £42.36
0-0 - £26.73
Fortunately the 2 games for today do not overlap (so i get to see one result before placing my bets on the other).
My last bet finished 2-0 so the first game today is between Xanthi and Asteras T in Greece.
I will be placing £28.04 on the draw, and £23.65 on the 0-0
The second game is between Lorient and Lille in France.
My stakes will depend on the Xanthi result.
If Xanthi finishes 0-0 I will place
Draw - £13.88
0-0 - £33.88
If it finishes with any other draw than 0-0 I will place
Draw - £13.88
0-0 - £26.73
If the anthi game is not a draw I will palce
Draw - £42.36
0-0 - £26.73
Wednesday, 15 February 2012
Football tips 15/02/12
A good and a bad day yesterday. Nailed a perfect 0-0 score in the Birmingham game which returned me £347.42, (I actually returned over £400 as received better odds than I am publishing) but the Rotehrham game was decided by a soft penalty. Would have been great to scoop an equal amount on that game.
The problem with having 2 games at the same is that I have to decide what stakes to place on each as the outcome of one game isn't known. If the Birmingham game was played at 5pm - I wouldn't have needed to palce quite so much on the Rotehrham game. Mind you - had the Rotherham game been 0-0 it would have compensated for this.
I am reverting my stakes down again today as I did receive a winner yesterday.
Todays game is:
Levadiakos v Panetolikos in Greece.
I am staking £20.92 on the draw and £23.53 on the 0-0
My current stakes and returns since starting this thread are:
Staked £172.07
Returned £234.98
and i have nearly broken the £1500 profit mark since I started this system in October
Again, I will publsih all stakes and odds as per the http://www.football-bet-data.com/ site - my actual profits exceed this but to allow people to cross check I will use those odds for reference.
Code: W7CBSE2QJBE6
The problem with having 2 games at the same is that I have to decide what stakes to place on each as the outcome of one game isn't known. If the Birmingham game was played at 5pm - I wouldn't have needed to palce quite so much on the Rotehrham game. Mind you - had the Rotherham game been 0-0 it would have compensated for this.
I am reverting my stakes down again today as I did receive a winner yesterday.
Todays game is:
Levadiakos v Panetolikos in Greece.
I am staking £20.92 on the draw and £23.53 on the 0-0
My current stakes and returns since starting this thread are:
Staked £172.07
Returned £234.98
and i have nearly broken the £1500 profit mark since I started this system in October
Again, I will publsih all stakes and odds as per the http://www.football-bet-data.com/ site - my actual profits exceed this but to allow people to cross check I will use those odds for reference.
Code: W7CBSE2QJBE6
Tuesday, 14 February 2012
Football tips 14/02/12
Selections for today.
Birmingham v Hull in England £28.64 (draw) and £30.69 (0-0)
Rotherham v Accrington in England £29.67 (draw) and £30.69 (0-0)
As both games kick off at the same time I am placing balanced stakes on each
Birmingham v Hull in England £28.64 (draw) and £30.69 (0-0)
Rotherham v Accrington in England £29.67 (draw) and £30.69 (0-0)
As both games kick off at the same time I am placing balanced stakes on each
Monday, 13 February 2012
Football tips 13/02/12
Selection for today.
Academica v Gil Vicente in Portugal. I am backing the draw and the 0-0 remember
I am placing £21.80 on the draw and £30.58 on the 0-0 as I am carrying on from my selections I have been backing since October
Academica v Gil Vicente in Portugal. I am backing the draw and the 0-0 remember
I am placing £21.80 on the draw and £30.58 on the 0-0 as I am carrying on from my selections I have been backing since October
My football betting system
So my system.
My system is based around selections published on http://www.football-bet-data.com/ I am selecting games where the score is predicted to be 0-0, the goals galore odds are over evens, and the draw odds are less than 3.5. So the game is already predicted to be even and low scoring (the lower the goals predicted, the higher the chance of a draw).
The goals galore odds are above evens (this suggests the chances of both teams scoring is less than 50% the normal average chance is around 53%), and the projected odds for a draw are lower then 3.5 (so a greater than 28.5% chance which is again the normal average).
Of course I am not naïve enough to think I will win every time.
I’ve suffered so many late goals (both for and against) so I have built a loss recovery plan into my stakes.
My stakes are based around a staking plan I have been working with for some time.
I am betting across 2 markets. Firstly backing the draw, and secondly backing correct score 0-0 (or first goalscorer no goal scorer). Both run seperate from each other.
Over my years of betting I believe this is one market that is hugely over priced. Lets be honest, most people you know who bet on football will usually be positively – ie For something to happen. Most people want goals, they want the favourite to win, and they stay away from games that are notoriously tight or hard to predict.
This plays into my hands as I can trawl through for best odds knowing that the range can often be huge.
I am glad that the http://www.football-bet-data.com/ site have added projected correct score odds to their selections as this allowed me to properly back test my system.
What I found was that not only is this system profitable – it is also profitable at odds a lot lower than are usually on offer.
For the purpose of this blog – and for anyone wanting to cross reference my selections, I will use the odds published by http://www.football-bet-data.com/
My own personal selections will be placed at usually odds 10% greater than published.
So a quick example of my system
Always start with a target of 1 for the 1st bet and add 1 for each and every bet until a profit is made and the coup is closed. (this figure can be adjusted depending on your risk and bank)
Bet at the indicated stake until the returns exceed current point chase. Do not start a new plan until the coup is closed.
My systems started on 1st October and since then I have made over £2,000.
Using the http://www.football-bet-data.com/ sheets as proof I still would have made £1,500 from a £4,500 total stake (33% Yield).
My system is based around selections published on http://www.football-bet-data.com/ I am selecting games where the score is predicted to be 0-0, the goals galore odds are over evens, and the draw odds are less than 3.5. So the game is already predicted to be even and low scoring (the lower the goals predicted, the higher the chance of a draw).
The goals galore odds are above evens (this suggests the chances of both teams scoring is less than 50% the normal average chance is around 53%), and the projected odds for a draw are lower then 3.5 (so a greater than 28.5% chance which is again the normal average).
Of course I am not naïve enough to think I will win every time.
I’ve suffered so many late goals (both for and against) so I have built a loss recovery plan into my stakes.
My stakes are based around a staking plan I have been working with for some time.
I am betting across 2 markets. Firstly backing the draw, and secondly backing correct score 0-0 (or first goalscorer no goal scorer). Both run seperate from each other.
Over my years of betting I believe this is one market that is hugely over priced. Lets be honest, most people you know who bet on football will usually be positively – ie For something to happen. Most people want goals, they want the favourite to win, and they stay away from games that are notoriously tight or hard to predict.
This plays into my hands as I can trawl through for best odds knowing that the range can often be huge.
I am glad that the http://www.football-bet-data.com/ site have added projected correct score odds to their selections as this allowed me to properly back test my system.
What I found was that not only is this system profitable – it is also profitable at odds a lot lower than are usually on offer.
For the purpose of this blog – and for anyone wanting to cross reference my selections, I will use the odds published by http://www.football-bet-data.com/
My own personal selections will be placed at usually odds 10% greater than published.
So a quick example of my system
Always start with a target of 1 for the 1st bet and add 1 for each and every bet until a profit is made and the coup is closed. (this figure can be adjusted depending on your risk and bank)
Bet at the indicated stake until the returns exceed current point chase. Do not start a new plan until the coup is closed.
My systems started on 1st October and since then I have made over £2,000.
Using the http://www.football-bet-data.com/ sheets as proof I still would have made £1,500 from a £4,500 total stake (33% Yield).
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