My football betting system

So my system.

My system is based around selections published on http://www.football-bet-data.com/ I am selecting games where the score is predicted to be 0-0, the goals galore odds are over evens, and the draw odds are less than 3.5. So the game is already predicted to be even and low scoring (the lower the goals predicted, the higher the chance of a draw).

The goals galore odds are above evens (this suggests the chances of both teams scoring is less than 50% the normal average chance is around 53%), and the projected odds for a draw are lower then 3.5 (so a greater than 28.5% chance which is again the normal average).

Of course I am not naïve enough to think I will win every time.

I’ve suffered so many late goals (both for and against) so I have built a loss recovery plan into my stakes.

My stakes are based around a staking plan I have been working with for some time.
I am betting across 2 markets. Firstly backing the draw, and secondly backing correct score 0-0 (or first goalscorer no goal scorer). Both run seperate from each other.

Over my years of betting I believe this is one market that is hugely over priced. Lets be honest, most people you know who bet on football will usually be positively – ie For something to happen. Most people want goals, they want the favourite to win, and they stay away from games that are notoriously tight or hard to predict.

This plays into my hands as I can trawl through for best odds knowing that the range can often be huge.

I am glad that the http://www.football-bet-data.com/ site have added projected correct score odds to their selections as this allowed me to properly back test my system.

What I found was that not only is this system profitable – it is also profitable at odds a lot lower than are usually on offer.

For the purpose of this blog – and for anyone wanting to cross reference my selections, I will use the odds published by http://www.football-bet-data.com/

My own personal selections will be placed at usually odds 10% greater than published.

So a quick example of my system

Always start with a target of 1 for the 1st bet and add 1 for each and every bet until a profit is made and the coup is closed. (this figure can be adjusted depending on your risk and bank)


Bet at the indicated stake until the returns exceed current point chase. Do not start a new plan until the coup is closed.

My systems started on 1st October and since then I have made over £2,000.

Using the http://www.football-bet-data.com/ sheets as proof I still would have made £1,500 from a £4,500 total stake (33% Yield).